Guys these aren't the actual top 50, these are just the top 50 on someone else's list that I've started working on. These rankings are NOT final and neither are their grades or profiles in general. These are initial grades. There are players who I have initially ranked higher that aren't on the list yet. Something to look at a few weeks before the draft though.
1.
Myles Garrett, DE Texas A&M 97
a.
Simply the best player in this draft class.
Garrett is a smooth and electric pass rusher with a bevy of moves and styles.
He can lull you to sleep off the line at times and then run through you. His
ability to convert speed to power and bulrush is as good as any player I’ve
scouted. The reason he’s the best player in this class though is that not only
can he be a game wrecker getting after the quarterback, but he is very solid
against the run. Garrett can set the edge on first and second down and then
make game changing plays on third down. His comparison in the NFL is Von
Miller, although I think Miller was a bit more explosive rushing the passer and
not quite as good against the run.
2.
Malik Hooker – S, Ohio State 94
a.
There’s reason personnel person and Buckeye fans
call this kid Malik the Freak. He’s an extremely enticing blend of size and
speed at 6’2 and 210 pounds, and a tremendous closing burst. Hooker doesn’t
always take the best angle but his unique athleticism and ball skills make up
for that. Hooker attacks the football like a wide receiver too, giving him a
chance to make more interceptions than what a normal player would or could
make. He’s very raw in his experience though, only playing one full season for
the Buckeyes. While he has the size to play in the box, he isn’t a super gifted
tackler, and his form tackling leaves something to be desired, so I think
Hooker will likely need to play in a high-safety look to take advantage of his
skill set. You’ll have to be patient with Hooker, as there’s a decent chance
he’ll struggle as a rookie, you just can’t be a star in the NFL right away with
so little experience. Even with that he’ll make his share of splash plays as
he’s just simply always around the ball. By the end of his first contract he’ll
be a Pro-Bowl caliber player, he’ll earn the nickname the Freak if you have the
patience to just let him learn on the job.
3.
Jamal Adams – S, LSU 94
a.
Likely the safest player in the entire 2017 NFL
Draft is Jamal Adams from LSU. He’s a guy who shows great versatility in the
back end, with the ability to play single high 20 yards deep, or up in the box
as a big hitting, sure tackling strong safety. Most people are going to want to
line him up deep and let him roam around and make plays but I think I’d like
him in the versatile role. A notoriously hard worker, Adams is also highly
respected among all his coaches and teammates, so there are zero red flags
there. To me he can play anywhere on the field, is a solid tackler, and takes
tremendous routes to the football when he gets to play centerfield. His comparison
is simple, this is Eric Berry 2.0, so take him in the top 5 and get a
guaranteed hit and a Pro-Bowler eraser on your defense for the next 10 years.
4.
Jonathan Allen – DL, Alabama 94
a.
This kid was the best overall player in the
country this year for the Crimson Tide and should have probably been invited to
New York for the Heisman ceremony. You don’t see interior players make the kind
of impact plays that Allen made consistently this season. He is a guy who can
play 34 defensive end, or 43 defensive tackle as the 3 technique and be a
difference maker wherever you want to play him. I think at 6’3 and 295 pounds,
with his ability to move is pretty rare. I have no idea who I’d compare him to
in the NFL, but he can play all 3 downs immediately and create mismatches
against whomever he goes against.
5.
Leonard Fournette – RB, LSU 94
a.
This kid is as good of a running back prospect
in terms of simply running the football that has come out since Adrian
Peterson. In my rankings I do typically take position into account in some
small way so that’s why Fournette isn’t ranked number one, although he might be
the best player in the entire class. He runs with a violence that I haven’t seen since Adrian
Peterson, and his combination of size and speed is terrifying to watch.
Fournette has been knicked up a bit in his college career which also dips his
value a point or two. That being said, he was the entire focus of opposing
defenses the second he stepped onto campus at Baton Rouge and he still had
almost 4000 rushing yards and 40 TD in his college career in the SEC. He wasn’t
used a ton in the passing game but he shows promise there too. I’m not a big
proponent of drafting a running back super early in the draft, but Fournette is
an exception. He could be a game changing weapon for an NFL offense. I do have
him graded out 1 point below Elliott from last year because Elliot’s ability to
block and receive were truly elite and Fournette hasn’t shown he’s quite as
good in those areas as Zeke was last season.
6.
Reuben Foster – LB, Alabama 93
a.
This kid is a ball player. If Adams is the
safest player in the 2017 NFL Draft then Foster is a very close second. He is a
rock solid 6’1 240 pounds and he can really run sideline to sideline. Foster is
a monster hitter who is one of the surest tacklers in the entire class. The
reason I have Foster rated so high though is that as good as he is against the
run he’s almost equal as a pass defender. Foster closes extremely hard on
running backs in the flat and can run up the seam with any tight end I’ve
scouted. It’s rare to see a linebacker that’s as aggressive as he is miss so
few tackles as well, as he simply closes on the football and players go down. I
think he’s probably better in man to man against the pass than he is in zone
but he’s very good either way as a linebacker. When he blitzes he’s effective
as well, as you’ve seen inside linebackers cause more havoc as blitzers this
season I believe than in the past, see Benardrick McKinney and Bobby Wagner.
Foster can change a defense the minute he walks in the door and he is easily a
first half of the first round type player. Obviously the combine situation
where he was asked to league is a red-flag but it seems to be an outlier so I’m
not dropping him on my board much.
7.
Soloman Thomas, DE Stanford 92
a.
Thomas was as disruptive as any player in the
country this season and it’s not a surprise to wonder why his draft stock is
rising in the scouting community. Thomas has a bit of a strange frame, so it’s
tough to try to figure out where you’d want to play him in the NFL. At 6’1 and
around 285 pounds he doesn’t really project as a prototypical anything. With
that being said his ability to create leverage and a non-stop motor combined
with very good heavy hands makes him very difficult to contain. He’s very stout
against the run on the outside and may be the best player in this draft at
collapsing the pocket. In longer plays he just doesn’t stay engaged with
blockers, his hands and feet make it extremely difficult to stop for very long.
When you combine that with his motor, this is a guy that will get you coverage
sacks consistently. He may have the most pass rush moves in this class as well,
giving you an inside spin, a bulrush, and a rip move consecutively means he
sets you up as the game wears on. I worry a bit about where to play him as I
don’t really know what to do with him. I think he projects best as a 34
defensive end who moves inside when teams go 4 man fronts on sub packages. I
really want to know what his arm length will be at the combine as well. I also
hate that he guesses at the snap count so much, he had 7 offsides just this
season, and that will need to get cleaned up. Overall, he’s a superb player who
will help any defense he goes to, and as a Stanford kid you know he’s very
bright. Someone will draft him, figure out where to play him, and watch him
wreak havoc.
8.
Dalvin Cook – RB, Florida State 91
a.
If you want a home-run hitter in your backfield,
look no further than Tallahassee and Dalvin Cook. Cook is a truly explosive
running back prospects and the comparison I keep hearing is of Jamaal Charles
and I absolutely love the comp. I believe that Cook is a better flexed out
route runner than Charles was coming out of school though. One of the things I
love about Cook is simply his ability to put defensive players on skates when
he gets them in space in passing routes. His inside running is better than most
people give him credit for as the average fan only sees him busting big runs
and not the ones that he turns from 2 yard runs into 4 and 5 yard carries. His
explosive speed and ability to make people miss in space is truly dynamic. That
being said there are still warts here that keep him from being a better
prospect than Fournette. Cook has had numerous run-ins with the law and you
have to worry about whether he can truly grow up and become an adult when he
gets that first paycheck. The other issue that I think a lot of people overlook
is that there is a history of fumbles here as well, and he’s not a terrific
blocker at under 210 pounds. His explosiveness will make someone fall in love
with him, but 13 career fumbles and off-the field issues would make the
interview process with him extremely important. Read two different people
compare him to Marshall Faulk.. if he can become anywhere between Faulk and
Charles a team would be ecstatic.
9.
Derek Barnett – DE, Tennessee 90
a.
Barnett is a dynamic pass rusher with ideal size
as a 43 defensive end. Barnett has been extremely productive for the Volunteers
in his three-seasons and is equally efficient against the run and the pass.
When he sets the edge he can get lineman on their heels’ forcing running backs
to give up ground to not get engulfed at the line. I love his ability to get
upfield and get tackles to guess at what he’s going to do. He doesn’t have
elite level quickness but he times the snap count very well and uses his
strength to push the pocket. Barnett has the power to move inside on pass rush
downs and create problems in pushing the pocket which gives him the added
versatility that some scouts, myself included fall in love with. I think he
doesn’t have great feet and so quicker offensive tackles and people who cut
block him can have success. That said I think Barnett is going to be a guy who threatens
double digit sacks consistently and will be a plus edge defender against the
run. If your team needs an edge guy, I wouldn’t hesitate to take Barnett early
on day one.
10.
O.J. Howard, TE Alabama 90
a.
Howard was criminally under-utilized for the
Crimson Tide in his career but was tremendous in the two games he played in the
National Championship. When given the opportunity to make plays in the passing
game Howard shows rare athletic ability for a man his size. At 6’6 250 pounds
he runs extremely well and does a nice job of high pointing the football when
the ball is in the air. He’s not a great route runner at this point, which to
me is actually exciting. When he can figure out how to create separation with
his route running, his athleticism will make him a Pro-Bowl caliber player. The reason I give
Howard such a high grade though is that he is also a very capable and quality
run blocker at the point of attack. He’s not going to maul you there but he can
create some movement, particularly when he is down-blocking. I think there is
room for improvement as a blocker too, he’s not elite there but does a good
enough job for the most part. Most scouts don’t grade him as a great blocker,
but I think with time given his arm length and athletic ability he could turn
into a very quality in-line blocker. Overall though, the kid is a matchup
nightmare who can turn short throws into big gains. Could be special.
11.
Jabrill Peppers, S Michigan 90
a.
Peppers is one of the most athletic players in
this entire class. He was a jack-of-all-trades for the Wolverines, playing
linebacker, safety, slot corner, returning kicks, and even being their wildcat
quarterback and occasional best running back. I believe if he had simply just
played safety and showed everyone what he could do he would have found his way
into the top ten in this draft. That being said he isn’t the most technically
sound football player in this class and therefore he isn’t nearly as polished
as someone like Jamal Adams. However, Peppers projects to me as a nickel
linebacker and a base strong safety. He’s a good tackler, takes solid angles,
and is particularly deft when asked to play zone coverage, where he can simply
read and react. When he’s in man he’s not as sticky as you’d like in coverage,
but he’s still above average, particularly when asked to defend tight ends. To
me he’s a really nice player who gives you versatility, athleticism, and a guy
who can match up with a lot of guys who are difficult to cover in the league.
He’s not perfect by any means, but he’s a good football player who every single
team in the league could find a spot for.
12.
Haason Reddick, LB Temple 89
a.
This kid is an absolute beast of a football
player. He has tremendous explosion running a 4.52 40 despite playing most of
his career for the Owls with his hand in the dirt. Weighing in around 235-240
pounds is okay in today’s NFL as Reddick likely will play a 43 will or an
inside linebacker spot in a 34 defense. He wasn’t asked to cover often at
Temple but watching him at the Senior Bowl he looked so smooth and easy
dropping into passing lanes and manning up backs and tight ends it was like he
had done it his whole life. Reddick did come into Temple as an oversized safety
so he does have some experience there though. He can absolutely run sideline to
sideline, is a tremendous blitzer due to his tenure at Temple, and is still raw
and rising as a stand-up guy. He’s not huge and can get dwarfed when he gets
engaged, and he can miss tackles occasionally too. Overall though I think
someone with his size and speed along with instincts that he has means the kid
could end up being a really good NFL player. I think he shouldn’t get out of
round one.
13.
Sidney Jones – Washington 89
a.
I really like Jones’ ability to cover on the
outside, and he has the best eyes of any corner in this entire draft class.
He’s an aggressive corner when the ball is in the air and attacks it with a
vengeance. Jones has either deflected or intercepted over 20% of the balls
thrown his way the past two seasons which is exceptionally elite. I love his
height at 6’1 and he’s got long arms, which help him a lot when he walks down
and plays press. Despite only weighing around 170 pounds, Jones gives a really
good punch off the line and does an excellent job rerouting receivers. He’s
very solid in man but I believe he could be a really good off man or zone
corner as well because of his aggressive behavior and ability to trust his
eyes. His lack of an ideal frame and being so light is going to end up being a
problem in the league as bigger receivers can get off his jam and use their
bodies to catch the ball in traffic. He does a good job mirroring, but 220
pound receivers are going to give him problems. Jones also isn’t terrible
against the run but bigger backs are going to give him fits and he doesn’t do a
great job getting off blocks. For the long-term approach for Jones I think he’s
got the highest upside in this draft in terms of being a true cover corner.
He’s a playmaker on the backend who can start immediately getting in the
league. I worry about his size and being decent but not great against the run.
Overall he’s a top flight corner prospect who will likely go in the first half
of the first round.
14.
Marshon Lattimore – Ohio State 88
a.
A tremendous athlete with limited experience and
good size, Lattimore has a ton of potential to be a stud corner in the NFL.
Lattimore had injuries derail the first couple seasons of his career but came
back and played exceptionally well in 2016. I love his hip turn and his ability
to turn and run with someone is as good as any player in this year’s class.
He’s excellent in press coverage but I think quicker receivers off the line can
beat him particularly inside. Slants are not his specialty in coverage and
therefore inside releases make him look a little vulnerable. Teams can’t beat
him on deep routes though. His ball skills are good but he sometimes forgets to
find the ball down the field and instead tries to time it up. In college
against mediocre receivers that’s fine but big time NFL guys will make contested
catches against him. Overall though this kid is a very good player with
tremendous upside. He’s still a tad raw which means his ceiling is very high. I
truly believe he has the highest ceiling of all the corners in this class. You
have to worry slightly about his injury history and lack of playing time to
temper expectations, but he’s a first round player.
15.
Evan Engram, TE Ole Miss 88
a.
This kid is going to catch a lot of passes in
the NFL. At 6’3 235 pounds and running a very smooth 4.42 Engram is a dynamic
combination of size and speed. While Engram is a well below average blocker at
the position you have to understand essentially you’re getting him as a passing
game weapon in a very similar situation to Jimmy Graham or even to a certain
extent Eric Ebron coming in to the NFL. He’s got fairly long arms for the
position at almost 34 inch reach and a 36 inch vertical giving him a very nice
catch radius. Engram doesn’t have tremendous feel for zone coverage yet, but
that will be remedied early in the NFL and I believe this guy can be an 80
catch per season guy in the NFL perhaps as early as his second season. I
understand that he’s essentially a move tight end who can’t block but so is
Jordan Reed who is my comparison. To me if I need a weapon toward the end of
round one I’m grabbing Engram.
16.
Forrest Lamp, G/T Western Kentucky 88
a.
A kid who is simply a really good football
player. I think he could potentially play any of the five offensive line spots
in the NFL and be an above average to good starter at any of them. I really
wish I could have seen him play some at center because he has potential to be a
really good player at that spot. Everyone always worries about how these kids
from small schools transition to the NFL, but if you watch how Lamp simply
dominated the Alabama front seven in that matchup, you shouldn’t have any more
questions. He’s got short arms which means he’ll likely move inside to guard at
the NFL level but with good movement skills, power, and a really good anchor
the kid will be a quality starter at that spot in the league. It’s impossible
to not compare him to Zach Martin, because it’s just too easy to see the comparisons.
I stud tackle in college without adequate length but good power, and very
tactically sound. I don’t think he’ll be quite as good as Martin, but even if
he’s 80% as good, that makes him a top 6-8 guard in the league. Really good
player.
17.
Corey Davis, WR Western Michigan 87
a.
Davis is the most productive receiver in the
history of Division 1 wide receivers. When you start off a draft profile that
has to be what you start with in this case. At 6’3 and around 215 pounds, you
have a guy who gives you prototype size and a fantastic route tree. Davis gives
you something at all 3 levels, consistently beating corners and safeties with a
bevy of moves and soft reliable hands. His underneath routes aren’t as crisp as
the routes to the outside, but he can get corners on their toes early and then
he creates easy separation at times. He’s a monster in the red-zone, and his
ability on third down is elite. I think what makes him so difficult to defend
is that it seems like he has three or four different gears which allows him to
create so much hesitation with corners that he destroys them. He can turn it
into a fourth gear when tracking a deep ball or drift slowly and burst through
on intermediate routes, where he excels. He’s not a terrific blocker, and he
did have 16 drops over the past 3 seasons, which isn’t bad considering he had
around 280 catches. The level of competition is a tiny bit of a concern, but
not enough to warrant much from hesitation from me. If Davis runs 4.50 or below
at the combine, he’s my number one wide receiver in 2017.
18.
Ryan Ramczyk, OT Wisconsin 87
a.
A former D3 tackled turned All American for the
Badgers, Ramczyk was one of the most polished and solid tackles in the country
this season. He’s an extremely athletic tackle which means that he is going to
be able to handle speed rushers at the next level without much problem. Ramczyk
gets to the second level well and does an exceptional job blocking down and
even doing reach blocks to help create a hole in the running game. He’s the
smartest tackle in this class likely in terms of learning NFL X’s and O’s and
his ability to recognize blitzes and games off the edge is elite. I worry a
touch about the fact he plays a little too straight up and down at times which
means people can get into his body. He also isn’t super long so his
measurements might not be great, with arm length being of huge import when he
goes to the combine. Overall I believe this kid played the best of any
offensive lineman in college football in 2017, whether you’re judging that by
sabermetrics or simply by the eye test. I worry a bit about the post-season
surgeries, which knock him down a touch. If his arm length is close to
prototype the kid will likely be the first lineman off the board, and he would
go first on my board if his medicals and reach are okay. He’s athletic, solid,
and will play left tackle in the league for a decade.
19.
Mike Williams, WR Clemson 87
a.
Williams is a big physical receiver who will
give small corners nightmares in the NFL. Williams tracks the football as well
as anyone in this class and does a really nice job of high pointing the
football and creating small separation on contested catches. At 6’3 and 225
pounds he sets up as a prototype number one wideout in the NFL. He’s fantastic
on contested catches, is tough over the middle, and is a good and reliable
blocker. His hands are above average and he can make a lot of tough catches,
but at times he does have the rare concentration lapse. Williams isn’t sudden
or overly fast and therefore he struggles to gain consistent separation from
corners, but his toughness and physicality give him an edge when he doesn’t
create much distance. To me he reminds me somewhere between Deandre Hopkins,
who consistently struggles to separate in the NFL, but makes tough catches, and Davante Adams.
His speed at the combine is going to be big for his draft stock. Ultimately
Williams lack of quickness and speed will make it a tough first year or two but
when he develops a more diverse route running repertoire he is going to be a really
nice piece. I also worry about that nasty neck injury he suffered in 2015, when
you draft someone that high you have to have some concern about an injury that
serious. I think at worst Williams ends up a high end number two receiver with
the upside of a solid number one. He’s a good player.
20.
Quincy Wilson – Florida 87
a.
This kid is arguably the best cornerback in the
entire 2017 NFL Draft. He has elite size and speed combination at 6’1 and 213
pounds. He’s an exceptional cover corner who does an excellent job in coverage,
allowing fewer than 40 percent of the passes thrown at him to be complete. Some
people worry about his footwork, particularly his backpedal but I love the way
he turns his hips to run. He is probably the best cornerback in this class while
the ball is in the air, always finding it and attacking the football. He’s not
great against the run but he wants to attack the ball carrier and goes hard
into the flats. He misses a lot of tackles but he’s tough and wants to be good
in that area so I believe eventually he’ll continue to improve in that area.
His 40 time at the combine and showing a bit of stiffness in his hips lowered
his grade a touch for me but ultimately he’s a first round guy.
21.
Christian McCaffrey, RB Stanford 87
a.
I know people are going to wonder where you’re
going to play this kid and my answer is simple: everywhere. He would return
kicks and punts for me, play slot receiver, and get 6-10 carries every single
game. He’s an absolutely dynamic player who can do everything you’d want in a
football player. Some people wonder if he can hold up as a full time running
back but I have zero worry about that situation. He’s got quite a bit of wear
on the tires due to a ton of touches for the Cardinal but he can touch the ball
250-300 times per year without any issue. He’s a very good route runner, and I
think he may even project better as a slot receiver than as a running back
prospect solely, where he would be at worst a 2nd round pick if he
played that position only. His ability to run between the tackles, one-cut run,
catch the ball out of the backfield, and be a dynamic kick returner means he is
without question a first round selection.
22.
Garrett Bolles, OT Utah 87
a.
This guy has the highest upside of any offensive
lineman in this entire draft. Bolles has tremendous athleticism which means he
has the potential to be a left tackle from his opening snap in the NFL. Bolles
has seriously unreal athleticism, for a guy at 6’5 and 300 pounds to move his
feet like he does is out of this world. It’s rare to find someone who can move
and misses so rarely in the open field and at the second level. A team who runs
a lot of zone concept would clearly have him as the top tackle on its board.
Speed rushers, stunts, and games are not going to give him a problem. That
being said he only has one season of FBS football under his belt which means
you are doing a wide speculation projection for Bolles at the next level. He
also has a narrow frame and definitely needs to get stronger. If he gets off
the ball a millisecond late, strong edge rushers can get into his numbers and
drive him back. I also think at times as a pass protector maybe he gets too
deep and players can convert speed to power into his chest. Overall though zone
heavy teams will have him as the top tackle on their board while typical power
run and base teams will probably like Ramcyzk and even potentially Robinson
ahead of him. Schematic fit and if he can add strength will determine how he
does in the league. Tons of talent and upside here.
23.
John Ross, WR Washington 87
a.
Everyone likens him to Brandin Cooks and it’s a
very easy comparison. Ross is a little bit taller and the fastest player in
combine history at a ridiculous 4.22, but the knee injury history and smaller
stature definitely means his value is down just a bit. I ranked Cooks at 88 and
I’m going to give Ross a tiny bit lower grade simply because of the knee stuff.
He’s the best deep threat in this class by a very long way, as he’s the only
receiver in the top 50 players with any type of really deep stretching ability.
Williams and Davis are excellent players and Kupp is a nice piece but Ross is
dynamic and someone who needs this type of guy is likely going to take him in
the middle of the first round. The thing with Ross that makes him different
than the other players who are simply burners is that Ross is quick as well as
fast, can run nice routes, and he has really nice red-zone skills for a player
that small. To me if he didn’t have the knee scare situation he would without a
doubt be a top 10 guy in this class.
24.
Tre’davious White – LSU 87
a.
White is a really good cover corner who can play
inside or outside from the minute he walks in the door. He’s not great against
the run but he does his part and at times he can close down on the flats as hard
as any player at the position. I love how patient he is and very rarely commits
early on into a route, letting his quickness and footwork do the work for him.
I also love how explosive he is as a punt returner, as he gets to top speed
very quickly and has enough shimmy to make people miss in a phone booth. I
don’t think I’d love to take him if I had a zone heavy scheme as he doesn’t
love contact and his size being as light as he is might not work exactly as
you’d want. At 5’11 and 190 pounds he doesn’t exactly scream cover 2 corner so
some teams might think he isn’t the right fit for what they like to do. That
being said he’s a very good cover guy and he’s arguably the best slot corner in
this class. White has very quick feet and can mirror almost every receiver he
plays against, rarely panicking and using his hands and leverage well. To me
he’s a solid long-time starter for a team that plays a majority of man to man
coverage. His punt return abilities and special teams prowess definitely adds
to his appeal as well. Also coaches
raved about him and his character is extremely high, so little risk when it
comes to that.
25.
Fabian Moreau, CB UCLA 87
a.
I have the highest grade on Moreau of anyone
I’ve seen so far and the reasons are many. Number one the kid is 6’0 and 205
pounds at corner which is nice size but he’s extremely explosive. The kid runs
a 4.35, and has a 38 inch vertical
meaning he can absolutely keep up with anyone in the league. Moreau missed a
lot of time in 2015 with a Lisfranc injury or else he’d be much further along
in his career. He switched over from offense to defense when he came in to UCLA
so there’s still a bit of rawness to his game but when he plays he can flat out
cover. He’s strong so press man or some sort of cover1/3 look makes the most
sense for him. He lacks ball production which some teams view as an absolute
and it does knock his grade a couple of points. Overall watching his tape,
knowing he’s still raw to the position, and watching him absolutely dominate
the East-West Shrine game as by far the best player there got me intrigued. His
tape is very good, he’s strong and fast, with good length and explosiveness. To
me he’s a good starting press corner in the NFL and he’s a first round guy.
26.
Cam Robinson, OT Alabama 86
a.
Robinson was a highly decorated high school
recruit when he signed with the Tide. Three years later on most draft boards
Robinson is the highest rated tackle in the 2017 NFL Draft class. At 6’6 and
around 315 pounds, Robinson has the size and length to play left tackle in the
NFL which instantly increases his draft stock. Left tackles are increasingly
hard to find in the league and Robinson possesses the quickness, length and
size to play the spot. I love the power and punch that Robinson has and for
someone who could potentially play on the blindside you don’t typically see his
ability to drive defenders off the ball in the run game. He’s got good
quickness and has great knee bend, rarely getting himself bullrushed and he
doesn’t lose a lot when he gets off the ball on time. I worry a bit about his
ability to get off the ball at times though as it seems his timing of the snap
count is a tick late sometimes. He was protected somewhat given Alabama’s max
protect schemes too, so you don’t see him in a lot of speed rusher one on one
situations. While athletic and fairly quick he misses some blocks at the second
level, particularly in the screen game where quick linebackers give him fits.
He also doesn’t recover as well as I’d like when going against speed. He’s a
good player, and a guy who definitely projects as a quality starter on the
offensive line, he may be better suited to play as a right tackle given his power.
You also have to be aware of some off the field red flags that could hurt his
stock. That being said in a weak tackle class, it’s very unlikely he gets out
of the top 25.
27.
David Njoku, TE Miami 86
a.
Njoku is an exceptionally athletic flex tight
end who projects as a matchup nightmare in the NFL. At 6’4 and 245 pounds he
has good size for a tight end and excellent tackle like length at 35 inch
reach. You couple that with the fact that he jumped 7 feet in the high jump in
high school and a 37.5 inch vertical a the combine and you have an excellent
red zone threat. I was disappointed in his 4.64 at the combine as he looked
like potentially a mid 4.5 guy on tape. Some people think his run blocking is
going to improve, and it might but watching him against strong edge setters on
tape, mainly the Pitt film, he got eaten alive. He works hard in the run game
but simply doesn’t have the functional strength and poor technique as an-inline
blocker at this point. I also worry a bit about dropped passes, I’ve seen a couple
of people say he had 8 drops, and a few others say it was 11. That means his
drop rate was somewhere between 11 and 15 percent, which is really high. He
also is raw as a route runner and while he’s athletic and sometimes faster than
his defenders he doesn’t set his routes up well. To me the kid is going to be a
really nice flex tight end who can eventually turn into a decent blocker
because he puts in good effort there. I can’t rank him as high as Engram who
was much more productive and was much faster, but he’s still a nice player who
could find his way at the end of the first round or the beginning of round 2
which is where I’d look to snag him. He’ll be better in years 2 and 3 without
question than he will be as a rookie. His talent is All-Pro so if you can get a
good tight end coach the kid could be Travis Kelce/Greg Olsen type player.
28.
Adoree Jackson, CB USC 86
a.
A smaller corner at around 5’10 and 185 pounds,
Jackson is an absolute freak athlete with elite speed and return ability. The
reason Jackson shouldn’t fall out of the top 50 picks is because of his ball
skills and return ability, the kid simply makes game-changing plays on a
frequent basis. Jackson is arguably the best return man in this entire draft,
which gives him a huge leg up and an enormous value boost if he was only a
returner. That being said he shows good ball skills, runs a 10.4 100 meter, and
is a fluid quick athlete. He’s small for an outside corner so there’s a chance
he is limited to nickel or perhaps outside against quicker receivers. He also
is mediocre in the run game and bigger receivers simply post him up to gain
position. He also didn’t really use his safeties as well as you’d like,
sometimes looking like he was excepting help when there wasn’t any or if there
was he didn’t utilize them. I think these are things a top tier defensive coach
can help fix but they are problems currently. Overall I think he’s a player who
could go anywhere from 25-40 in this draft and someone will get a player who
with 8 career return touchdowns is a true playmaker. I’m a fan, but his limited
size means he has somewhat limited upside as a corner, but as a punt returner
he’s truly elite.
29.
Obi Melifonwu, S UCONN 86
a.
If you’ve watched all four seasons of his tape
at UCONN Melifonwu has improved every single season. His combine was literally
one of the most insane things I’ve ever watched in my entire life. At 6’4 and
225 pounds he looks like a tight end or something and yet he plays a hybrid
safety spot and runs a 4.40 40. He also jumped a stupid 44 inches in the
vertical, and a 11’9 in the broad jump and actually looked disappointed in both
scores when he finished. He’s a good tackler who likes to play downhill, and
ended his senior season with almost 120 tackles. While he’s not great with the
ball in the air on the deep ball, and I don’t think I’d want him to play free a
lot of the time for me, he has improved in that area. To me I’m not sure
exactly what he’ll be in the NFL and I don’t know with his overall lack of ball
awareness and not ideal feel for the game if I could take him in round one.
That being said damn the upside is through the roof, you just don’t see
athletes like this guy come around often. His continued improvement means that
even though he’s gotten better, he hasn’t come close to his ceiling yet.
30.
Malik McDowell, DL Michigan State 86
a.
McDowell might actually be the most talented
player in this entire class. His physical tools are completely unbelievable. At
6’6 and around 285 pounds, McDowell played defensive tackle for Sparty but it sure
seems like he’d be ideal at the 5 technique 34 defensive end spot. Despite his
height, he typically plays with pretty good leverage and rarely gets above his
pads. At times though he can struggle a touch with squattier offensive lineman
and can get pushed back when he stops being disciplined and gets too high. He
can play with a crazy amount of power and push when his motor is running hot
and his Indiana film was absolutely insane, he completely dominated that game.
His motor does run a bit hot and cold, which is troublesome but not all
together unheard of when talking about true 5 star blue chip caliber players.
He also typically is limited in his pass rush moves, using one on the outside
and one on the inside and rarely goes with any counter moves. Overall the kid
could turn out to be the best player in this draft, or depending on whether he
goes to a good defensive coach who can help him out and keep him motivated,
maybe he’d be an average starter. I could see someone falling in love with him
in the top 10. That being said though he supposedly had literally the worst
interviews at the entire combine, which means he drops out of round 1 for me.
Talent wise he’s top 5, head and motor wise he’s round 4.
31.
Alvin Kamara, RB Tennessee 86
a.
A superb athlete with great measurable and high
football IQ, Kamara leapt up the draft board throughout the pre-draft process.
The guy is now firmly in the late first round discussion, despite only 8 career
starts at the running back position. I actually love the fact he has so little
wear on the tires, because it means he’ll still be in his prime by the end of
his rookie contract, which isn’t a guarantee with running backs currently.
Kamara seems to have a tremendous grasp of pass game concepts as well, showing
good hands, great pass protection skills, and a nice feel for getting open in
the pass game. As a running back he shows good balance and burst, and ends up
using good vision to hit the hole hard. Kamara looks like he might be the best
in some sort of a zone running scheme but uses a nice burst and explosiveness
to get to the second level well. I’m worried about the fact that he doesn’t
fall forward or run with as much power as I’d like for someone his size, but
it’s not that he goes down easily, he just doesn’t push the pile as well as I’d
like. His acceleration from zero to full speed is a step below elite. Overall
the guy is a number one running back and will definitely be in the discussion
at the end of round one. He could start right away and the low number of
carries means he can play for a long time.
32.
Zach Cunningham, LB Vanderbilt 86
a.
This dude was built for today’s NFL. A fast,
sideline to sideline linebacker who makes plays all over the field, Cunningham
is going to be in the conversation in the first half of the first round. An
extremely intelligent football player who understands schemes and angles,
Cunnigham amassed almost 300 tackles in his career, playing with below average
talent in front of him to keep him clean. He’s a guy who will be able to digest
complex defensive schemes quickly, and therefore he can play and contribute as
a top end player immediately in the league. I worry about a couple of things
with Cunningham, however. One is he’s not the biggest inside linebacker in the
world, weighing in around 225-230 pounds. If his combine numbers are closer to
235-240 it would certainly help his stock. I believe it is due to his lack of
prototype size and aggressive nature that causes him to miss so many tackles,
this season alone it was written he missed 19 tackles, the most in the entire
country. Now some of this is attributed to the fact he’s around the football
all the time, but the lack of consistency in tackling has to be a major cause
for concern for some teams. Cunningham is very solid in the passing game, using
quickness and smarts to matchup very well with virtually anyone on the opposing
team. To me he looks like a 43 Will linebacker or a middle linebacker in a 34
for a team that is okay with a smaller, faster Mike. To me I like him in the
back half of round one. He’s a good smart player but the missed tackles drove
me nuts when I watched his tape.
33.
Jourdan Lewis – Michigan 86
a.
This kid is a football player, and one way or
another I’d love to have him on my team. He might not be that ideal H/W/S
combination at 5’10 and around 185 pounds but the kid is an excellent football
player. He is extremely difficult to disengage with and is really good when
he’s playing on the inside. He was an extremely productive player and he has
over 40 career passes defended. He doesn’t have the size to play reliably
against everybody on the outside so he’ll likely be an inside guy from the
outset. He was an excellent gunner on special teams too which definitely
increases his ability. He kind of reminds me a bit of Jason Verrett in that if
he were 6’ and 200 pounds he’d likely be my number one rated corner in this
class but being undersized will likely drop him out of round one. If he’s there
at the beginning of round two I’d jump at the opportunity to get this guy on my
team. He’s my stand on the table and make a case for him on draft day if he’s
around in round 2.
34.
Mitch Trubisky, QB North Carolina 85
a.
Trubisky will get you a wide variety of opinions
in scouting circles. There are some things that are going to concern everyone,
mainly the fact that Trubisky was only a one year starter in Chapel Hill. That
means that virtually everything you get with him is going to translate into
projection only territory. That’s always exceptionally worrying when you’re
going to take a quarterback with your first round pick, because if you miss on
him, you likely won’t have a job in two seasons. The other issue that he has is
when pressured sometimes he’ll throw totally off platform which gives you a
little bit of pause. When he does have to toss and not get his feet set he has
a tendency to miss a couple of throws high. In college this seasons they didn’t
hurt him but in projecting him to the next level that could cost him some first
downs and interceptions. In the positives, you can definitely see why there are
a lot of people thinking he could go as high as number two overall in the
draft. He has excellent feet and mobility and uses them to escape pressure in
the pocket or step up and make plays. Trubisky has a tight compact release that
lets him get the ball out quickly, particularly when he’s rolling out of the
pocket. He’s an accurate passer for the most part, but his receivers had the
lowest drop rate in the NCAA this season, and the team threw a lot of bubble
and tunnel screens. I think his arm strength is above average and he can make
some really impressive throws at times. In a couple of the films I watched on him,
Florida State and Stanford, he had two guys running across the field to his
right and they opened up completely for him and he missed them wide. The
Stanford tape showed some inadequacy in reading coverage, as the Cardinal mixed
up looks giving him fits. I think Trubisky is a nice player, and he could
project to be a quality tier starter in the NFL, but at this point you’re
projecting him completely. His mobility, arm strength, size, and compact
delivery give him a chance to be good, but it’d be very difficult for me to
take him in the top 10 based on talent alone. I just wish I had more than one
year sample size.
35.
Deshaun Watson, QB Clemson 85
a.
I actually like Watson probably more than most
scouts, simply based on the fact that the kid is an absolute gamer. Watson won
a ton of games for the Tigers, a lot of them simply because of blood and guts
and he’s a guy you would absolutely love going to war with. He is extremely
mobile, using both power and quickness in the run game to make plays with his
legs. I think his arm is better than most scouts want to admit, and he drives
his hips through the throw for the most part, being able to drive the ball at
least at an average NFL quarterback rate. He has good pocket awareness, being
sacked just 32 times in almost 1200 drop backs. He’ll stand in and take shots
as well, waiting to allow receivers to gain separation. All of that being said
there are a number of things that create cause for concern, including mediocre
accuracy, which is a major problem. This past season he tried to do a bit too
much early in the season, forcing too many throws into coverage. The turnovers
this season are a problem, because if he does that against ACC defenses, only
reading half the field, he’s going to have more turnovers at the next level.
His deep ball accuracy is borderline as well. Watson’s frame is a bit more wiry
than I’d like but that’s not a deal breaker for me because he can spin the
football. To me it’d be tough to take Watson in the top 10 of this draft simply
because there are a decent amount of question marks and there are pretty darn
good players in this draft. That being said, he is a football and preparation
junky, an exceptional leader, and he steps up against big time competition. If
I needed a quarterback in the back half of round one, or with my second first
round pick i.e. Cleveland, I would be willing to take a chance on Watson.
36.
Budda Baker, S Washington 85
Baker is a really good overall football
player who is going to be a nice player in the NFL. Everyone worries about the
kid’s size based on the fact that he essentially was an in-the-box safety with
the Huskies. At 5’10 and about 190 pounds there are some real limitations there
as well considering he’s going to be asked to cover 6’4 tight ends consistently
in the NFL and to me that means you simply can’t take him in the first round.
That being said, Baker running a 4.45 40 as a safety means that the kid can
cover slot receivers in the league, which is a huge boon to get for a box
safety. Baker is a nice cover guy for slot guys as well as he mirrors much
better than most safeties in this class so you can play him in centerfield or
roll him down in 3 and 4 wide to cover shifty slot guys. The kid’s versatility
and instincts, along with being highly coachable and competitive means he’s
easily a round 2 guy for me. He doesn’t drive through guys as a tackler but he
competes hard and doesn’t miss too many guys. His size is a factor but he’s a
damn good overall player with good speed and instincts. His size means I simply
can’t take him in round one because I worry about his ability to stay healthy
and cover tight ends but I’d love him as my second selection in a draft class.
37.
Patrick Mahomes, QB Texas Tech 84
Easy to call this kid a gunslinger and his
tape will drive you nuts because he ALWAYS wants to go for the big play. That
being said damn there is a lot to work with here. He’s got a gigantic arm and
when he sees a big play down the field he’ll hang right in the pocket and
deliver a strike. Mahomes doesn’t have perfect size at only 6’2 but he’s got a
really good frame so I think he’ll hold up without any problem in the NFL. He’s
got really good mobility and can threaten the defense with his ability to run
and to throw. He’s definitely a street ball kid so a team that wants its
quarterback to play within the system the kid simply isn’t going to be that
guy. He’s quicker than fast, but at 4.80 the kid has decent speed, but mostly
he makes people miss in the open field which is a nice trait for a guy who can
move. He has a lightning quick release as well. That being said he’s going to
have a HUGE learning curve going to the NFL as the Texas Tech offense is truly
a spread game that doesn’t translate into the NFL. I really want the kid to
figure out how to check it down and make the easy play more, because defenses
gave him underneath throws at times and Mahomes simply said fuck it and tried
to fit the ball into tight windows. There is so much talent here, and the kid
plays with the most confidence of any player in this entire draft. Not the most
confidence of the quarterbacks, I mean the most confidence of any PLAYER, which
I love. That being said tons of talent, but he either needs to conform or a
coach needs to let him go for it to work. I can’t tie my career to him as my
first pick in a draft but if I’m a quarterback needy team in round two I wouldn’t
hesitate to grab Mahomes and see if I couldn’t hit a homerun.
38.
Gerald Everett, TE South Alabama
Super sleeper in this class who has really
great potential to be one of the better tight ends in the league. He’s a 6’3
and 240 pounds and runs a really solid 4.6 40. He can create immediate
separation the pass game and very rarely fights the football. He caught 90
passes the past two seasons. Everett is pretty good after the catch as well,
giving him even more upside as a pass catcher. What I really like about Everett
though is that the kid really blocks with violence. His technique isn’t good
when he’s doing it yet, but he puts in a ton of effort and can create movement
in the run game. Two major issues with Everett though is that he doesn’t run
good routes or have good feel for the zone coverage yet. He also has really
small hands at only 8.5” which means there could be some issues with catching in
bad weather and fumbles.
39.
Marlon Humphrey – Alabama 84
Humphrey is a prototype cornerback at 6’1,
200 pounds, and very solid top end speed. He has tremendous upside because you
simply can’t teach his H/W/S combination. He’s a strong physical corner who
attacks the flats and the apex of the route very well. Humphrey plays well in
the run game, and ultimately might be the best corner in this draft playing the
run and the flats, which could make him a really good zone corner in the
league. My issues with Humphrey come more from poor footwork and inability to
consistently locate the ball when it’s in the air. He gave up almost 20 yards
per completion the past two seasons and didn’t have nearly the productivity
you’d think, particularly with a front seven getting as much pressure as the
Tide did. The kid is tough, fast, and athletic, and someone is going to pull
the trigger on him very early because of those things. I completely understand
why someone would want to do that, but if it were me, I think he really needs
to hone in his technique or he’ll get picked on when he’s first getting into
the league.
40.
Taco Charlton, DE Michigan 84
A supremely talented but uneven player, Charlton
is going to have someone fall in love with him during the draft process. He has
prototypical size, length, and speed, making him an extremely attractive
prospect. My issues with Charlton are the fact that his tapes are so difficult
to digest because he can dominate at times and at other times on the same tape
he can be blocked easily one on one, sometimes by a tight end. While he is
explosive when blocked by mediocre offensive tackles, good players can get into
his body and control him without much resistance. Some people think he can kick
inside on pass rushing downs or play a 5 technique but he simply doesn’t play
with a strong enough base to hold up full time in that role. To me he’s a 43
defensive end only, which to me limits what his upside is and what types of
teams could take him in the draft. Now as a 43 defensive end he has great
flexibility and his ability to drive through blockers and dip his shoulder to
get the edge are as good as anyone’s in this entire draft class. Charlton has a
nice counter move when he goes from rips and power to a spin move that he
hasn’t quite perfected yet but could turn into a Freeney-esque move. There is a
lot of potential here with Charlton, but if I’m an NFL GM there is simply no
way that I could risk my job on him in the top 10-15 picks of this draft. I
think the risk for him becomes good when he’s outside the top 20, but only if
you need a 43 defensive end. Someone is going to take him early because of the
talent, but likely he’d be too rich for me come draft day.
41.
Deshone Kizer, QB Notre Dame 83
I think this kid is clearly the most
talented quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. He also may be the most pro ready,
coming from a hybrid but mostly NFL system for the Golden Domers. At 6’4 and
235 pounds he has ideal size for an NFL quarterback and a very plus arm. Kizer
can absolutely do everything you’d want in a prototype quarter back for an NFL
franchise. He seems to be a bright kid and when he gets time and into a rhythm
he can really make plays. Kizer is also very mobile and a true dual threat
particularly in the red zone where he posted 18 rushing scores the past two
seasons. All of that sounds great but you have some real red flags when you
watch his tape. Primarily he’s inconsistent with accuracy and decision making,
those are major problems that just jump off the screen. He throws too many
interceptions, misses too many anticipation throws, and will drop his eyes
which just drives me nuts. When he gets rhythm and gets the ball out on his
first read Kizer is electric, but he gets “stuck” really often. The Stanford
tape was so bad for this, Stanford, which runs a complex defensive NFL type
scheme against pro-style system just gave him fits. That tape dropped him a lot
on my board. Overall the kid has every athletic and size trait you’d want in an
NFL guy, but the lack of consistent accuracy
and forcing throws to his firs tread means I simply couldn’t take him with my
first pick. As a second round guy though there is so much to work with here that
you could find a high upside guy in a couple of years.
42.
Cordrea Tankersley – Clemson 83
Tankersley is a really nice football player
who does a lot of things well. He’s got pretty good size at over 6 feet tall
and 200 pounds. Tankersley has tremendous ball skills and showed a ton of
production the past two seasons getting 9 interceptions and 21 pass break ups.
He isn’t great in the run game and misses some tackles at times particularly in
space. He does a decent job keeping contain though on the outside when in the
run game. He’s a bit stiff when he plays bail technique, and it leads to him
giving up a number of underneath throws. He doesn’t panic a ton but I think
when he gets beat he doesn’t recover as well as some others and therefore he’ll
have his share of penalties. Tankersley is particularly weak when trying to
defend in-breaking routes, and mesh or drag routes cause him trouble. However
on outside routes he might be the best corner in this draft, and I believe he
does a well above average job on getting into the right spot in zone. He’s a
complete player against the pass in that he can play both man and zone. Most
people who are analytics junkies are going to really like Tankersley, as he
typically has very good grades with those scouts. For me I believe he is an
outside corner who projects likely more as a number 2 corner in the NFL with an
ability to play both man and zone. He’s a day 2 guy and a really solid player.
43.
Jarrad Davis, LB Florida 83
There is a lot of things to like about
Jarrad Davis but there are some issues that have him ranked lower than where
most other scouts have him. Yes the kid can absolutely run and make plays but I’m
a bit worried about some things that are going to be problematic in the NFL. He’s
a good athlete, although you have to worry about how he’ll bounce back from his
injury this season. Davis is good enough of an athlete that the Gators used him
primarily as a spy when they wanted to rush and his ability to close on the
ball carrier is as good as any linebacker in this draft. All of that said, he
takes really bad angles at times to the ball getting himself out of position
really often. He also just takes on blockers instead of trying to slip them, and
at 235 pounds you simply can’t do that. The Alabama tape just had guys
engulfing him and moving him out of the way. He attacks too hard downhill and
while it looks like he’ll read the hole correctly, he attacks so hard that
running backs can get behind him quickly. He simply fires his gun too early
when asked to scrape down the line. Early in his career at Florida he was an
elite special teams player and I believe he’ll do that role early in his NFL
career as well. I love the kid, the
leadership sounds like he’s spectacular in that regard but there are some holes
here. I think he’s a 43 will, 34 ILB, but more likely a nickel linebacker who
needs some clean up to his game. I like the kid, but he’s not a first rounder
to me.
44.
Takkarist McKinley, Edge UCLA 83
A non polished good athlete at defensive
end. McKinley gives you great effort on each snap and absolutely comes after
you every single snap. He has really good length at almost 35 inch arm length
and with sub 4.6 speed the kid gives you a lot of tools in the toolbox with
which to work. He has very few counter moves in terms of being a pass rusher
and as a rookie almost all of his production is going to come against below
average tackles and tight ends or with hustle sacks. He’s extremely raw in
terms of hand placement and technique as a pass rusher. That being said his
pure speed and length is going to create some problems once he gets coached up
at the NFL level and he could turn into a plus pass rusher at times. His length
and work ethic makes him decent against the run already as well. At around 250
pounds he projects much better as a 34 OLB or a pass rush specialist in nickel
situations in a 3 point stance. He lacks ideal bend too so there are a couple
of things that would worry you. To me the kid is a second round pass rusher
with a good work ethic and tools to develop. I like him but can’t take him on day
one in this draft.
45.
Gareon Conley – Ohio State 83
A height weight speed prototype cornerback
at 6’1 and 200 pounds running likely in the mid 4.4 range. Conley is exactly
what you’re looking for when you draw up a cornerback prospect. Conley loves
playing press coverage and his trail technique with length makes him and ideal
bump and run corner. He struggles a bit in off coverage as even though he’s
extremely athletic I think he’s a bit rough in his transitions. I struggle at
times watching him because while he looks good in zone coverage, when he’s off
the ball in man he can get caught looking or get caught flat footed. I like his
eye discipline for the most part and he gets deep enough in zones to cause
problems for quarterbacks. The major issue I have with Conley though is there
are teams that will definitely take him off their boards because he struggles
in off man and he’s well below average against the run. His Michigan tape
wasn’t very good, as Darboh got a ton of inside releases on him and the crossing
routes gave him problems. If he’s stuck on an island and is asked to just play
bump and run with trail he’s as good as anyone in this class but he needs help
with technique and has to get stronger against the run. To me he’s a day 2
corner.
46.
Tim Williams, Edge Alabama 83
It’s not that I don’t like Tim Williams, I really
do when he’s asked to do one thing, go get the quarterback. I think other than
Garrett and Barnett he’s arguably the third best edge rusher in this entire
draft class. My issue with Williams is that he doesn’t really do anything else
at an NFL caliber level. He’s not strong enough against the run, but if he adds
too much weight to stop the run I think he’ll lose his best asset which is his
quick twitch and ability to make tackles swing and miss. His pass rush
technique I think is pretty high level and he can use counter moves to set up
tackles all game. Now I thought he was going to explode and be a top 10 guy this
year when he came back and now there’s no way I can take him in round one. He’s
got 32 inch reach and at a light 244 pounds decent size offensive tackles can
move him and engulf him. That being said the kid is a premier situational pass
rusher, those people don’t escape the second round and I needed one I’d grab
him in round two.
47.
Teez Tabor – Florida 82
A
nice player and potentially a first round cornerback. Tabor has really
good size at 6’0 and 201 pounds. He looks much more confident playing off, and
it seems like he has some fear in terms of getting beat over the top. Due to
that he can definitely give up the underneath throws at time which is a bit
frustrating but he does seem to understand down and distance fairly well. This
became much more obvious at the combine when he ran a 4.63 40, showing he
simply didn’t trust his speed. He has the quickness to run the underneath
routes and can definitely high/low in coverage. He is not good in the run game
and doesn’t show a great willingness to mix it up. He’s definitely quicker than
fast so he may need to start his career on the inside for year one or two until
he can get acclimated to the speed of the game. Overall though he’s a really
good cover corner who has a borderline first round talent. He also has some
character questions and you hear consistent things about those issues. In this year
I think Tabor is a second round prospect mostly due to his fear of getting beat
over the top, lack of straight line speed, and character issues. Being poor in
the run game isn’t a deal breaker for me at this specific position.
48.
T.J. Watt, OLB Wisconsin 82
I like T.J. Watt, but not nearly as much as
other people do. I don’t get how people can take him in round one as their
first pick in a draft when he simply doesn’t have that much tape or anything
that really jumps out to you when you watch is film. He’s got good length and
is strong at the point of attack but I’m not really sure where I’d like to play
him. He’s around 255 pounds and 6’4 so I’m guessing maybe base end in a 43
defense because he plays so hard at the snap that he could potentially hold up
against the run. I almost think he’s kind of a tweener in the NFL meaning maybe
you’d move him to defensive end in sub packages and then 43 stand up linebacker
in a base. Overall the kid is really solid, he can do a lot of things pretty
well and nothing exceptionally well. I think he’s a guy who could play as a
nice piece for a long time but very little star potential here. A solid starter
who can cover a bit, can tackle well, and is a nice pass rusher. None of those
things jumps off the screen but if you want a solid guy who can do a little bit
of everything and will work his ass off, I’d take Watt on day 2 and watch him
be a quality starter.
49.
Caleb Brantley, DT Florida 80
Some people really like Caleb Brantley, I
just simply don’t see how someone could take him in the first round. The
Alabama tape was not good, he got beat up by those linemen. His chase-down
effort wasn’t great, effort on double teams is good but he’s not great at
holding up in that scenario. Brantley can get washed out against a decent
double team, allowing athletic lineman to get to the next level. Good initial
quickness and strong punch. I know other people love him, I’m not that high on
him. I think he’s got that nice quickness but damn he didn’t play many snaps,
doesn’t kill against double teams, and doesn’t have a ton of production.
There’s talent here but I wouldn’t take him in round one. He’s more of a
projection than anything else with one really nice trait, interior pass rush
quickness. Somewhere on day 2.
50.
Charles Harris, DE Missouri 80
Most everyone sees Harris as a first round
pass rusher, grabbing 9 sacks this past season for a bad Missouri team. For me
I just don’t see it, the guy doesn’t have long arms and can get engulfed by
decent sized offensive tackles or even decent tight ends. He’s okay against the
run but simply doesn’t get off blocks well enough consistently against the run.
Harris does a nice job converted speed to power early in a snap and can use a
couple of inside counters when quarterbacks step up in the pocket. A number of
his sacks were simply effort plays or pocket collapsing plays where he closed.
I don’t see him killing people off the edge, particularly in the NFL. Harris
can be a nice edge player in the league but so much of it depends on just
allowing him to penetrate and not to set the edge or keep his gap. In 2016 when
he was asked to not just get up the field his tape was not first day tape, not even
second round tape. Scheme is very important. The kid might be pretty good, but
right now I simply can’t take him anywhere in the top 40.
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